The United States' defeat in this war will be remembered as one of the most disastrous and shameful in its entire history, especially once the period of extreme intoxication that the West has suffered in all its spheres as a consequence of its excessive power over the last few decades has passed.
The mistakes Donald Trump has made so far in his second term are already comparable in magnitude and severity to those Joe Biden made during his entire term as US president. And there can be no doubt that things will continue to get much worse.
Donald Trump has done nothing truly useful to resolve the very serious internal problems plaguing the United States, nor to compete economically with China, and virtually everything he has done on the international stage has been very wrong.
One of the most astonishing mistakes of Donald Trump and his administration, as well as of Israel, has been and still is their complete lack of understanding of what they are facing in the Middle East.
This demonstrates colossal shortsightedness. The mental retardation that invariably accompanies any excess of power in those who "enjoy" it, always entails a proportionally direct underestimation of the intelligence of others, so that when it is extreme it exhibits at once a megalomaniacal self-concept and a hetero-concept of absolute stupidity, in which, for the megalomaniac, all the rest of us are completely idiots.
This extreme double distortion of reality, both his own and that of others, occurs simultaneously, creating an effect in which fantasy becomes doubly extreme, and the resulting errors are, to put it euphemistically, completely indistinguishable from psychopathology.
Each rung Donald Trump has climbed on his enormous ladder of abuses, both domestic and international, has worsened his distortion of reality, progressing from what until recently was merely a serious case of narcissism to what is now a clear case of severe megalomania, with increasingly worse and more dangerous delusions.
Donald Trump is completely unaware of this, although the consequences of this new enormous error, now in Iran, will be very revealing to him.
The astonishing ignorance and recklessness of this military incursion against Iran implies this colossal strategic error, one that only a child or someone extremely naive could make:
Donald Trump, his administration, and his generals and military strategists have acted regarding Iran exactly as if Russia and China were utter idiots, while, of course, reality has been indicating for many years, and increasingly so, that the exact opposite is true.
But I haven't seen anyone in the West whose lucidity or sobriety is such that they aren't also "thinking" that way, trapped in the same bubble as Trump, because the effects of a country's decline don't just affect the political class, but permeate, to a greater or lesser degree, the vast majority of its people, at least.
This is the ladder of abuses and delusions of Donald Trump and his United States:
1. He attacks Venezuela and seizes its oil, after lying countless times, in completely implausible ways, about his objective. And at the same time, he kidnaps President Nicolás Maduro. Consequently, Donald Trump's megalomania intensifies considerably, and there's even talk of the possibility of kidnapping Vladimir Putin.
An important factor in this pathological worsening was the fact that Trump repeated so many times the lie that the United States had used a novel and advanced weapon in attacking Venezuela that disabled its defenses (when in reality it was a betrayal and a kind of coup d'état in collusion with the US military), that he ended up believing in such a false military superiority himself, in addition to believing that he could again extensively apply that same ability to easily buy a government or country.
2. Because of this escalation, Donald Trump threatens Colombia, Mexico, and Cuba with military intervention.
3. Trump again threatens to annex Greenland.
4. He takes another concrete and illegal step to dispossess and expel China from Panama.
Russia and China protest this, pointing out that the United States is replacing diplomacy with the law of the jungle.
It is at this moment, after these displays of unrestrained savagery by the United States, and after another equally illegal series of attacks in the Twelve-Day War, that Donald Trump decides he can attack Iran again.
And when President Trump and his administration commit this other very serious abuse, in their minds there is, evidently, only one thing: this incredibly simple set of actors: the United States, Israel, and Iran. Completely simple! Amazing, but true! Although I know it doesn't surprise anyone (or, at best, almost no one) in the West, given the serious state of decline we're experiencing here.
And this doesn't take into account the fact that Donald Trump expressed surprise at Iran's military response, because this came later (too late), and even now the West still doesn't grasp essential aspects of the current reality, despite the blows it suffers daily from Iran and through this country in its power-madness.
When, after systematically lying daily for years about his intentions and actions, Donald Trump restarted negotiations with Iran on prohibiting the country from developing nuclear weapons, what the United States said, with the crystal clarity of its actions—which is the only thing that matters to any sober person, not the useless words of a mythomaniac—was, at all times, exactly these two things:
1. To Iran:
As you have seen time and again in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and increasingly so, there is no moral limit to the genocides Israel is prepared to commit to expand its reach in the region. The only limit is material. And we, the United States, have not only contributed to these genocides, but, of course, obviously, we want them to extend to Iran as well—to all of Iran, as well as to all of Gaza. This is why you Iranians, unlike Israel, must not possess nuclear weapons. It is an existential negotiation, in which, peacefully (albeit with a naval strike fleet lurking), we ask you to accept what is most advantageous to you: to die at the hands of the Israelis, as you have already witnessed the Gazans die, or what is least advantageous to you: to die at the hands of the Israelis and the Americans through joint attacks that are now closer than ever.
This is precisely what the United States was implying to Iran throughout the negotiations, and it is exactly what Iran always interpreted during that pointless process.
The United States only presented two options for negotiation: two slightly different ways for the Iranians to be annihilated.
Although Iran knew that these negotiations were utterly absurd and would lead to no agreement, but only to another war (another series of attacks by the United States and Israel, which it would have to counterattack), it agreed to participate for only two reasons: 1) Primarily, to avoid appearing closed or unwilling to engage in dialogue before the rest of the world, and to prevent being accused of having instigated the inevitable war waged by the United States and Israel. Therefore, it was merely a formality, albeit a diplomatic one, that had to be fulfilled before the military conflict. 2) To use that time to better prepare for the inevitable war, in whatever way was necessary.
But the US decision to attack Iran again has also sent another message, in some ways even more important than the one mentioned above.
2. To Russia and China:
As you have just seen, we have shamelessly lied and contradicted ourselves countless times before attacking and seizing Venezuela. The truth means nothing to us; we only care about lying, in every way possible, to achieve our goals, which, of course, as you can see, are to seize everything we can. The greatness in our slogan 'MAGA' is exclusively material. Everything else is irrelevant to us.We respect Russia only to the extent that we are forced to respect it because it has even more nuclear weapons than we do. We respect China less because it has fewer nuclear weapons than we do. This is why we are so insistent on seizing Taiwan.So you already know our objectives in attacking Iran again: not only to annihilate the troublesome Iranians, but to seize their oil, as we did with Venezuela. This will allow us to dominate the world. Obviously, this is in line with everything that is increasingly..." We've been doing this against China (in Panama, Mexico, Taiwan, and many other countries). One of the first things we'll do after seizing Iran is prevent China from receiving oil from any Middle Eastern country.This will allow us to dominate the world not through our work (not by working as hard as the Chinese), because that's something we no longer want to do, having grown accustomed to the comfort of a lack of competition, but through the exploitation of the natural resources of countries we can still seize using the weaponry we still possess from when, because of the Cold War, we were forced to work seriously.And once we've reached this point, we'll reclaim all the excesses of hegemony (unrestricted child sexual exploitation, among many others) that you and other deranged communists are haggling over and stealing from us.
This implicit message in the US and Israeli aggression against Iran is as clear as I have just written it, and as clearly known by the Russians and Chinese since those early days when this conflict was looming (immediately after the attack on Venezuela), largely because another essential trait of people whose intelligence is greatly diminished as a consequence of excessive power, as in the case of Western countries, for example, is boastfulness, one of Donald Trump's most prominent characteristics. This irrepressible desire to flaunt his arrogated grandeur prevents Trump from keeping his biggest plans secret. It makes him utterly transparent.
There are countless phrases, in various forms, with which Trump has clearly constructed this message.
However, since these phrases, although repeated ad nauseam, are somewhat scattered throughout Trump's publications, he and his administration are unaware of what they are implicitly saying through their own actions, because even something as simple as this requires restraint. And the evidence that in this case even they themselves don't know what they're saying between the lines will be seen below.
At the same time, almost everything Donald Trump says is impulsive, thoughtless, emotional, and a response to immediate events, without looking beyond a few inches and minutes. This is why he falls into so many contradictions.
Something that makes Trump even more contradictory than merely due to his carelessness is that he doesn't care about falling into unintentional contradictions because, obviously, he considers it a virtue or strength to be unpredictable, disconcerting, and therefore, in many cases, contradictory. It's the typical anti-value of madness as a means of instilling fear and, through this means, gaining control of a situation.
But the main problem here isn't that Donald Trump is clearly unaware of the message his actions convey, but rather that, as I mentioned before, he grossly underestimates the intelligence of his adversaries. People of limited intelligence and narcissism, like Donald Trump, believe they are smarter than they are and believe others are less intelligent than they are. In Trump's case, this double error is abysmal.
In this case, this is the most crucial point, because it not only implies Donald Trump's more or less conscious conviction that, due to the very low intelligence he attributes to Russia and China, (1) these countries are incapable of grasping the clear message implicit in his administration's actions—that is, the implications of such actions—but also that they are incapable of (2) grasping the possible consequences of such actions, and, even if they were to glimpse something, they would be capable of (3) devising an effective response plan, or they would be so cowardly (so foolish) that they wouldn't dare implement it, due to the supposed invincible power of the United States, which only a small part of the planet currently believes in, to their own detriment, since it is nothing more than a childish fantasy, like threatening adults with calling Santa Claus if they don't submit to his whims.
Since the analogical correspondence between the geopolitical sphere and the everyday is not readily apparent to most people, and therefore they have great difficulty understanding international politics, I will draw an analogy here that will shed considerable light on what is currently happening in this field.
To do so, I will simplify the scenario to that of a boat on the high seas, carrying only six individuals: the United States, Israel, Gaza, Iran, Russia, and China. For this purpose, it is not necessary to include any others; these are the essential ones.
They are completely isolated from other people, and although each has a different amount of provisions, in total there is enough for everyone until they reach a port in about 30 days, although this implies that they will share food with one another.
During the journey, Israel, in complicity with and with the help of the United States, inflicts multiple beatings and tortures on Gaza, leaving it on the brink of collapse, and appropriates its resources, despite the disagreement and angry protest of Iran, Russia, and China.
Throughout this entire journey, and for a long time before, the United States has repeatedly (and systematically) attacked and threatened China and Russia in various ways, effectively declaring itself their mortal enemy, while falsely claiming otherwise.
Then, the United States and Israel say they will also strike Iran until it is agonizing, as they did with Gaza, and will control it and strip it of its resources (as, shortly before this journey, the US did with another entity named Venezuela).
At this point, the answer to this question is relatively easy: What is going to happen? Can you predict what is going to happen? Carefully examine the brief and very simple account of events I have just given. If you can answer correctly, even if you are an ordinary person, you are, for this matter at least, a far better military strategist than those in the United States currently deciding whether or not to start and continue a war.
I'm going to give you a hint, which you shouldn't need because I practically explained it—very clearly—in the story, but I'll analyze it briefly, in a basic way:
When the United States and Israel strike, control, and dispossess Iran, they will be much stronger against Russia and China for two reasons: 1) Because they will no longer have Iran as an ally (its strategic geographic position must also be taken into account here), and 2) because they will have many more resources (more food, more energy) to strengthen themselves and immediately strike against China and Russia as well, which is absolutely predictable, given the dynamics of the United States and its ally Israel over the decades, and especially in recent years.
I doubt that most people have never been victims, in childhood, adolescence, or adulthood, of one of those individuals whose sole purpose is to harm others (anyone they can), and who are extremely disturbing due to the obsessive and highly repetitive persistence of their abuse whenever they have the opportunity, especially when one realizes the vileness of the fact that their abuse is motivated by nothing more than envy. Those who have never found themselves in such a situation have most likely been, in part, the perpetrators themselves, or, less likely, have lived in an overly artificial environment.
Well, the United States is, obviously, in relation to China, that insufferable troublemaker, and has been for a long time, and all the more so as China progresses.
If, despite this example and your knowledge of international events that have been repeating themselves in various forms for years, you still don't grasp the essence of what I just told you, I have to tell you, quite frankly, that you suffer from a serious psychological problem, a lack of empathy, which in turn is determining, among many other very important problems, your inability to understand essential aspects of international relations; something that should be possible for everyone, as a matter of basic understanding.
Furthermore, we must consider the very relevant fact that China depends, to a significant extent, on the "food" (energy) that Iran shares with it.
So, I repeat, what will happen next in this situation, in this boat?
The answer is quite simple: Russia and China will help Iran so that it doesn't succumb, isn't stripped of its resources, and isn't lost as an ally.
Although China could receive the resources it needs from Russia if Iran were defeated and plundered by the US and Israel, the problem for these Asian countries is much more significant than that. It is, in fact, existential, a matter of life or death, because, as I said before, such an outcome would strengthen the United States and Israel and, at the same time, in a way, double that strengthening because it would simultaneously weaken Russia and China. Furthermore, the United States would immediately use this advantage to attack and plunder another country in the same way, thus strengthening itself even further, so that, having increased its strength sufficiently, it could attack and plunder China and then Russia.
This attack on China or Russia, as I have explained several times in other publications, would result in a united defense by these countries. But it would become extremely difficult for them to emerge unscathed, or even impossible, depending on how far the United States has previously been allowed to strengthen itself by absorbing countries militarily, increasing the already existing, and inconvenient for everyone, power imbalance on the planet.
And this, of course, Russia and China, being the level-headed nations they are, immediately perceive in this situation. As these statements show in part:
At this point, [Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov] pointed out that Washington makes no secret of the fact that its interventions in Venezuela and Iran are for oil. "They have a doctrine of dominance in global energy markets. LUKoil and Rosneft fell under sanctions. These are the first major sanctions of the Trump administration, not the legacy of [Joe] Biden," he stated."The US has seen and continues to see Russia's marginalization from European energy markets as a positive development," Lavrov continued. "Biden started it, and Trump is finishing it. This is an open attempt at energy dominance worldwide, in every region," he added."We are being pushed out of all global energy markets […] this is an unusual situation, a return to a time when there was no framework for international relations. It has been clearly stated that US interests take precedence over any international agreement," he concluded.Lavrov: The US has a "doctrine of domination in energy markets"Mar 21, 2026 12:52 GMTLavrov: The US is prepared to orchestrate coups, kidnappings, and assassinations of leaders of countries with desired resourcesMar 21, 2026 12:52 GMT
So now I ask you: Considering that these two countries are facing not just any problem, but an existential one, what will happen?
The realistic answer is extremely simple: They will defend Iran. But since Russia, the United States, and China possess a large amount of nuclear weaponry, they will try, at least initially, to keep this conflict within conventional means and, to facilitate this precautionary limitation, they will try to reduce it to a proxy war, through Iran.
But the key question here is this: To what extent will that support be? Nothing less than existential, of course, because that is, at the very least, the level of threat they face. This is by no means an overreaction resulting from some hypersensitivity, but merely the common, realistic reaction of any individual or entity who is not intoxicated, but sober.
This doesn't mean that these two countries will use all their weaponry to force Iran to defend itself, but only that they will use enough to ensure Iran wins this war. This will certainly happen long before Russia and China exhaust their weapons, and after their adversaries have squandered their own resources, at least politically, and crucially, military-wise.
There is nothing unusual about this. What is unusual, however, and a serious one, is that the United States, Israel (and what remains of their alliances) failed to anticipate this normal and natural reaction from Russia and China.
However, Donald Trump has repeatedly displayed a naiveté that clearly reveals the astonishing extent of his ignorance regarding this war: He has insistently requested that China participate in opening the Strait of Hormuz, arguing that this country is one of the main victims of the blockade.
This ignores three facts:
1. Iran, as it has explicitly stated on numerous occasions, is only blocking passage to enemy countries, not Chinese ships.
2. China can receive Russian oil.
3. And most astonishingly: Since China and Russia are essentially sustaining this surprising (to Donald Trump and the West) Iranian military capability, this request directed at China is utterly absurd. It's like hitting someone and then immediately asking the victim's parents and self-defense instructors to intervene so you can easily hit them back.
Iran's Advantages over the United States and Israel in this War
1. The United States is much farther from the Middle East than Russia and China.
2. Russia's combat experience is far greater than that of the United States.
3. China and Russia have far greater weapons production capabilities than the United States and Israel.
4. Russian weapons technology is more up-to-date than that of the United States and Israel.
5. The only countries truly affected by the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are Iran's enemies. Russia can supply oil to China and India.
6. The struggle of the United States and Israel in this case, as has usually been the case, is driven by expansionist greed, authoritarianism, and racial discrimination, as well as, quite simply, by a desire to distract Americans from the serious internal problems their president is neglecting and the disastrous disregard for trade and technological competition with China. Meanwhile, the struggle of Iran, Russia, and China is existential. Thus, we are faced with another case, like NATO's war against Russia through Ukraine, of another struggle driven by whim and ambition versus another existential struggle, respectively.
The decadent behavior, prone to excesses and counterproductive outcomes, continues under Trump, worse than under Biden, with only minor differences.
7. Based on these advantages, this other one is extremely decisive, and its effect has been very visible since the beginning of this war. This great advantage that Iran has explains why all the Arab countries that have been attacked by the Persian nation so far are extremely reluctant to retaliate. Have you ever wondered why these countries don't attack Iran, as if some vast, hidden force were preventing them? The reason is that this force truly exists, and these countries perceive it because they maintain a certain degree of restraint, unlike the United States and Israel, which are blinded by megalomania and the visceral nature of their actions.
This vast, hidden force (mostly to the West) is the aid that Iran has been receiving from Russia and China in every aspect, including, of course, the military, long before this war, which was anticipated. But then you might ask why these Arab countries don't choose to participate, on the side of the United States (as the US has already requested), in order to increase the likelihood of a swift victory for the US.
Because the reason isn't merely quantitative; or, to put it another way, the quantitative becomes the qualitative here. In other words, it is no longer valid to simply say "we have a lot of money because we have a lot of oil and, therefore, we can buy a lot of weapons," because since all of it depends on their oil, it is all relatively easy to annihilate with missiles by Iran.
But isn't it possible to do the same to Iran and render it completely ineffective in response, by counterattacking? And here we arrive at the crux of the matter. The answer is yes in a way, but at the same time a resounding and decisive no, because if these countries attack Iran's oil facilities, Iran would immediately, and without any limitations on its arms stockpile (even if all these countries were to unite and attack it simultaneously), do the same to those countries, thanks to its suppliers; but with this crucial difference: no one would help them to continue the war (or to recover afterward), while Iran would: Russia and China would support and sustain it, to continue the war (and to recover afterward).
All these countries know that if they attacked Iran until it was completely deprived of oil and, therefore, practically dead, this country would immediately recover anyway, receiving oil from Russia and more weapons (among many other things) from Russia and China to continue the war practically as if nothing had happened. Tehran would then do exactly the same to those countries, but with the crucial difference that neither the United States nor, much less, Israel would help them recover, sustain themselves, and continue the war; instead, they would be effectively destroyed.
It has been abundantly clear to the world that the United States is not morally in a position to help any country, but only to exploit it, as in the cases of Venezuela and the European Union.
Furthermore, if the United States were in a position, driven by the desire to profit in this way, to help these Arab allies recover and continue the war, it would also be in a position to win the war on its own.
The fact that the United States is clearly losing this war is a very clear red flag for any desire these countries might have to retaliate against Iran.
It's exactly the same thing that happens with Donald Trump's absurd request to the European Union to open the Strait of Hormuz, where the implicit response to the refusals is, "If it's really possible to open it, why don't you Americans open it, since you're already there and have 'the most powerful army in the world'?"
The same applies to everything the United States and Israel destroy in Iran: It will be destroyed in Israel, as has been happening, with the important difference that for Iran, repairs will be easier, with the help of China and Russia, than for Israel.
To give a simple example, if the United States destroys power plants in Iran, as it has threatened, Iran will do the same in Israel and the region. And there is no country in the world with the same capacity to promote independence from non-renewable fuels in another as China, as it demonstrated a few days ago in relation to Cuba.
Since neither side has a great capacity to defend itself against the other's attacks, both possess equally large destructive capabilities. While they cannot afford, at least until now, to engage in indiscriminate destruction, the decisive factor in this war, with similar destructive capabilities, is not the capacity for destruction, but rather the capacity for reconstruction and reproduction (of weaponry). In both of these areas, Iran holds a significant advantage, for two reasons: the aid it receives and the impulsiveness and lack of foresight of its aggressors, who are turning this war into a quagmire, sinking them deeper the more they struggle.
All of this means that Tehran, Moscow, and Beijing hold all the cards in this game, and they will undoubtedly win. It is only a matter of time and how exactly they will do it. This will also largely depend on how much longer Trump resists acknowledging defeat, although everything suggests that the longer he delays this decision, the more the United States, Israel, the European Union, and their allies, among other countries around the world, will lose.
The losses Iran is suffering in this war, while also enormous, are in some ways much smaller than those of most other countries. The aforementioned losses are of a different nature. They represent a significant "investment" (though this is not the appropriate word) in the medium and long term; an enormous sacrifice to gain glory on Earth. Conversely, the losses of Israel and the United States are of the opposite nature: they are losses resulting from mistakes.
How This War Is Benefiting Russia and China
1. As a test and improvement of their weaponry in actual combat against US weaponry.
2. As a means of gaining a better understanding of the US military in real combat.
3. It is a way to demonstrate the superiority of Russian and Chinese weaponry over Western weaponry.
4. It is a way to demonstrate that China and Russia's weapons production capabilities far surpass those of their Western rivals.
5. Given this greater production capacity, this war significantly reduces Western weaponry. Because Western weaponry is slower to replenish than that of China and Russia, the result is that, while Donald Trump previously based his aggressions and provocations on his existing (stockpiled) weaponry, which was hampered by a diminished capacity to produce more, after this war he will not even be able to rely on that.
6. This debunks the myth, among NATO members, that Russia could not successfully confront Western weaponry more advanced than that provided to Ukraine.
7. It shatters that same illusion regarding the capabilities of Chinese weapons compared to Western ones.
8. This also shatters the Western illusion—as persistent as it is naive and unfounded—that Russia and China, when seriously threatened, would not join forces to fight against the United States, even if now through Iran.
9. Russia is now selling more oil, and at higher prices.
10. China is now selling more solar panels.
11. Iran, Russia, and China now have far greater control over the Middle East than before. This represents an increase in their strategic influence over the use and market of global energy. This is one of the most colossal counterproductive consequences of a greed-driven mistake.
12. The increased likelihood of Donald Trump's impeachment as a result of his war against Iran is already remarkably convenient for China and Russia, given his aggressiveness and arbitrary approach to international relations. If he were replaced by the current Vice President, James David Vance, there would likely be improvements.
Trump's Difficult and Costly Exit from This War
Among the treacherous paths this tortuous labyrinth offers for the United States to extricate itself from this war, the least costly is the quickest withdrawal. And yet, this will not be as "easy" as it seems, but rather much more difficult, although far less difficult than stubbornly persisting with this mistake.
Among the enormous number of hesitations and contradictions Trump is currently grappling with is the idea of staging a charade of victory and then leaving, immediately focusing on attacking Cuba to avoid any opportunity to criticize his defeat.
However, he will have left behind, with Iran, a massive debt of reparations still outstanding and an abandoned and isolated debtor: Israel.
In this new phase of the US president's international missteps, there will be other very serious blunders, just as damaging to the country and, above all, to Trump, as those committed regarding Iran. These are not circumstantial missteps, but systematic ones, stemming from a permanent and incurable mental deficiency.
Depending on whether the joint attacks by Israel and the United States, following the US withdrawal from the Middle East, have yet to fully recover from the damage inflicted by Arab countries (in their complicity with the US), the US will likely allocate more resources to this effort.
At first glance, Trump's exit from this war seems easy, because in a fit of weariness and frustration, he could abandon the entire project and lie, claiming that the objectives have been achieved and that, as he has falsely stated many times, Iran is defeated, and then walk away.
But in this case, it would be like suddenly turning around in the middle of an argument, while the other party, hurt, is still making a claim, and leaving, which, in a way, is worse than staying when the place being abandoned partly belongs to the one leaving or when their possessions (a child or material things) remain there, with which the offended party could seek revenge.
It goes without saying that in a departure like this, no agreement of any kind would have been reached, not even tacit, much less explicit or formalized.
And in this case of suddenly turning one's back on the opponent and jumping out of the ring claiming victory, one would indeed have left behind a child or ally and numerous material possessions, in the form of American companies, and even, it must be mentioned, military bases.
Leaving the war like this, or rather, abandoning it in this way, as if jumping out of a window, as if self-destructing, no matter how much victory is claimed upon fleeing, would have, at the very least, these very adverse consequences for the U.S.:
1. Iran would continue attacking all U.S. and allied military bases in the region, within a radius of at least 4,000 km, until it completely destroys what remains of them. Since news of these events will spread around the world, it will be very difficult for Donald Trump to continue claiming that they gained anything from this war.
Furthermore, the fact that Iran continues to attack will make it even more evident that this war had not actually ended, but that the United States simply withdrew abruptly, in yet another miscalculation, highlighting that Trump first made a mistake in starting it and then made another mistake in ending it, or in the way he ended it.
Despite this, very few Americans would agree to end the war by paying the corresponding reparations, or to continue the conflict. In other words, most would have a strong feeling that the only "solution," which was already impossible, was not to start it, and that there wasn't even a real problem, but rather one that had been artificially created.
The continuation of these Iranian attacks will create a perception in the United States and the rest of the world of a resounding and humiliating defeat of the U.S. military at the hands of Iran. This, of course, will be very unfavorable for Donald Trump and his administration, who will no longer find any way to convince anyone otherwise.
He will claim he is being underpaid for having become a martyr by saving the United States and the world from Iran. However, considering the above and the following, this will be seen as nothing more than pathetic delusions.
2. Iran would destroy all American companies in the region unless it reached some agreement with them in which they committed to contributing financially to the reconstruction of the Persian country.
It is practically impossible for Iran to reach such an agreement with the U.S. government because Donald Trump would not acknowledge his defeat, and anyone else in his place would simply blame his predecessor.
3. Iran would continue attacking Israel, until it assassinated or overthrew Netanyahu and brought to power someone with at least a non-anti-Iranian or non-pacifist stance, demanding reparations for the very serious damages inflicted upon it.
4. Iran would demand reparations from the Arab countries allied with the United States, which have been complicit with the US in the attacks against it, under the threat of continuing to attack their oil facilities if they do not pay.
5. The foreseeable trend is that Iran will not unblock the Strait of Hormuz immediately after the United States withdraws from the war without paying for the damages, and that, while seeking reconstruction options, it will continue to pressure its enemies to make reparations by blocking their transit through the strait or charging them a toll to pass through.
6. At the same time, due to the enormous outstanding debt, Iran would, for a long time, confiscate or attack any ships (tankers, cargo ships, etc.) belonging to the United States, Israel, and their close allies (such as the United Kingdom) simply for approaching the region.
7. Iran would acquire, and in part already has, a much greater dominance or influence in the region than it had before this war, and this would be so blatant and undeniable to the entire world that the American mistake will be remembered in history as a prime example of counterproductive action.
Incidentally, in my book, Applying Anti-Nuclear Attack Vaccine, I discuss in depth and detail the common cause of these counterproductive actions in all cases, why practically everything Joe Biden and Donald Trump have done has been counterproductive, and how to avoid this serious mistake.
Applying Anti-Nuclear Attack Vaccine
Ignorance of what is written in this part of the book is what is causing such serious errors by the United States, against itself and against the rest of the planet.
The absurd and naive logic of Washington in its expansionist campaigns lies in the method of fleecing others in order to weaken them, like Samson. For short-sighted and very low-intelligence people, this childish story is enough as an international roadmap.
These Western countries have not yet reached the level of understanding where they realize that nothing is as self-deceptive, dangerous, and counterproductive as shaving another person and then, by continuing to treat them like a dog, even if they are cold and starving, being surprised to find that they are a shaved lion.
This is what I call the shaved lion effect, where one expects to induce a weakening, while in reality a surprising and unexpected strengthening occurs. It is the epitome that encapsulates the entire vast array of systematic Western counterproductive practices. Every sanction and embargo, every hair and lock cut or plucked from an overdeveloped country is the fertilizer that feeds and strengthens its shaved victims.
This is why the United States has lost so many wars. It thinks it's the Delilah of the world, but ends up getting trampled by shaved lions.
The United States' situation with Iran, this time, is the clearest example of the saying about someone who goes for wool and comes back shorn.
8. Furthermore, of course, at the same time, after this American excess, there will also be this other counterproductive effect: Russia and China will also have strengthened their position and strategic influence worldwide, by outdoing the shearer.
These consequences, if anticipated, will prevent this course of action; if not anticipated, and this course of action is taken, they will force a return very soon (to commit more errors, although in that case it would be under the leadership of a different US president).
Awareness of the circumstances surrounding the current situation, and the foresight of what would ensue if the United States were to suddenly abandon this war scenario with Iran, keep the president and the country completely bound to it.
Since Donald Trump is now likely to take this perspective into account, it is very likely that he will not withdraw from this war so hastily, no matter how much he may continue to proclaim to the world that Iran remains defeated.
Because Trump makes extremely large investments in his gambles, each of his failures is a point of no return. It is not the same to fail as a businessman, losing one's own money, as it is to fail as a politician, squandering taxpayer money and the lives of fellow citizens and innocent foreigners.
Furthermore, any ground incursion by the United States, either into Iran or on its islands, will undoubtedly be successfully repelled, for the essential reasons I have outlined here.
So I'm going to talk now about the possibility of the United States or Israel attacking Iran with nuclear weapons. Which, while it would be utter madness, is not impossible.
Tucker Carlson recently spoke about this:
The news anchor recalled the president's words that the U.S. military could "annihilate" Iran in an hour if it really wanted to, and indicated that an attack of such magnitude could only be carried out using nuclear weapons. "The U.S. president said on camera today, 'We're looking at using nuclear weapons against Iran.' He said we could annihilate Iran, make it uninhabitable forever in an hour. We could wipe them out this afternoon," the journalist quoted Trump as saying."We have weapons that can do it; we're talking about nuclear weapons. The U.S. president is saying out loud that if this escalates, we could drop a nuclear bomb on them," Carlson stated.Tucker Carlson: Trump threatens to use nuclear weapons against IranMar 15, 2026 10:05 GMT
Just days earlier, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov had commented on the issue:
"The United States does not attack those who possess nuclear weapons," Lavrov stated at a press conference following talks with his Brunei counterpart.The Russian Foreign Minister also referred to the opinion of "some interlocutors" in the Middle East who recall that former Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi renounced nuclear weapons and paid for it with his life.Condemning the US offensive against Iran, Lavrov maintained that "this war" could spur the development of nuclear weapons not only in Iran but also in neighboring Arab countries.In this regard, he warned of the risk of nuclear non-proliferation spiraling out of control and advocated for a fundamental dialogue with the US regarding its global perspective and the role it assigns to other countries.Lavrov: The US does not attack those who have nuclear bombsMar 3, 2026 10:10 GMT
It is clear that Lavrov is not advocating here for every country to possess nuclear weapons, but rather for the United States to respect other countries, in accordance with international law, so that others do not feel compelled to acquire nuclear weapons.
However, considering the contempt for international law that the United States and Israel routinely display, and the growing threats (both explicit and implicit, stemming from frustrated expansionist ambitions) to use nuclear weapons against Iran, it is foreseeable that we are also nearing a point where Iran will be forced to possess nuclear weapons to deter further aggression.
One such aggression could urgently be an attack, or a more severe threat, with nuclear weapons by the United States or Israel.
And judging by the well-known irrationality of Trump and Netanyahu and their inevitable capitulation, this is indeed very likely.
Therefore, it is necessary to ask ourselves how this deterrence could be achieved. To that end, providing Iran with one of these defenses has undoubtedly been considered:
1. Nuclear weapons. Ready for use, not the technology for their development, due to the urgency of the situation; as Russia has done with Belarus. This wouldn't cause any alarm, considering that Finland is considering deploying NATO nuclear weapons as a threat to Russia, and that, regardless, there are in fact more nuclear weapons aimed at Russia in other countries than there are in other countries aiming at Russia. It wouldn't increase, but rather reduce, an imbalance.
Since the international imbalance is still so great and so unjust, the idea that Israel should renounce its nuclear weapons to achieve equilibrium in the Middle East and prevent genocides like those it routinely commits against its neighbors is simply not viable. The only possible path forward is for its victims to adopt the same level of nuclear weapons, if Israel refuses to do so. This would not eliminate tension or differences in the Middle East, but it would reduce belligerence. A tense peace is far better than open war, especially when the latter involves genocide, due to an extreme power imbalance.
2. Nuclear Umbrella. This is the safest (and most compliant with international treaties) and quickest option, especially in an emergency like this: extending the nuclear umbrella, for example, Russia's, to cover Iran.
Backup of this publication: